• Tesla, semiconductor stocks weighed on the Nasdaq 100 gauge
  • Fed’s Barkin says ‘buckle up’ on hopes for a soft landing

The new-year slump in US stocks extended while bonds eked out a gain in the aftermath of the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s last meeting.

The Nasdaq 100 fell 1.1%, extending a losing streak for a fourth day — the longest in over two months — as investors continued to retreat from last year’s winning tech sector. The S&P 500 slid 0.8% while the Russell 2000 small-caps gauge notched its worst drop since the March banking crisis. Tesla Inc. and semiconductor stocks slumped while crypto-tied equities floundered as Bitcoin erased most of its gains this year.

The dollar strengthened against most of its Group-of-10 peers for a fourth day, the longest run for the currency since November.

Fed policymakers said rates could stay restrictive for longer than anticipated last month, while noting rate cuts could emerge before the year is out. Swaps traders have been reining in their bets on rate cuts after factoring in a full quarter point cut to the benchmark rate by the March meeting.

Treasury yields ended the day near session lows with the rate on the 10-year reversing after climbing just above 4%, the highest since mid-December, earlier in the day.

“The FOMC minutes focused on better balanced risks to growth and inflation, but policy will remain restrictive for some time,” Morgan Stanley’s Ellen Zentner wrote. “We do not think this is a Fed planning to lower interest rates anytime soon.”

Fed Chair Jerome Powell ignited a markets rally last month after indicating that policymakers had discussed lowering interest rates. His colleagues at the US central bank then attempted to walk back market enthusiasm for quicker and deeper rate cuts in the days that followed.

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin held off on giving a forecast on when the US central bank’s first rate cut would occur. “Conditions are ever evolving,” he said in prepared remarks Wednesday. “So too will our approach. So, buckle up. That’s the proper safety protocol even if you expect a soft landing.”

The Institute for Supply Management’s manufacturing gauge hit 47.4 last month, data out Wednesday showed. The index has remained below the 50 level — indicating a contraction – since late 2022. Separate data showed the number of job openings fell slightly in November from the prior month’s revised number.

“Overall, the labor market remains strong, but demand is cooling, coming into better balance with supply,” Rubeela Farooqi, chief US economist at High Frequency Economics wrote. “These data will be welcome news for policymakers and support the Fed’s view that the next move in rates will be lower, likely in Q2.”

Friday’s jobs report could cement the cooling narrative, according to ING’s James Knightley. The makeup of jobs growth is “almost as important as the payrolls number itself in determining the prospect for rate cuts in 2024,” he said.

Elsewhere, a slump in Bitcoin on Wednesday saw the cryptocurrency erase almost all gains it had made so far this year. Stocks tied to the sector slipped with MicroStrategy Inc. sliding about 8% and Coinbase Global Inc. dropping roughly 3%.

“The year is certainly off to a rough start, which may motivate more profit taking, after the outsized gains of last year, but the fundamentals haven’t changed, nor have earnings estimates,” according to Louis Navellier of Navellier & Associates. “There are opportunities in good stocks with attractive values being dragged down for no good reason.”

By Admin

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